aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com · 2018-05-22 · 2935d

Walmart's India (Flipkart) Gambit: Growth Rebirth or Costly Facelift?

Aswath Damodaran analyzes Walmart's $16 billion acquisition of a 77% stake in Flipkart, arguing that it is primarily a defensive move against Amazon rather than a value-creating transaction. He examines both companies' life cycle positions—Flipkart as a money-losing growth engine and Walmart as a mature, declining retailer—and concludes the deal is unlikely to generate adequate returns for Walmart shareholders despite the premium valuation.

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Metrics in this report

Financing Costs

0.671billion USD

Flipkart, 2016-17 fiscal year

Operating Loss

0.6billion USD

Flipkart, 2016-17 fiscal year

Operating Margin

-40%percent

Flipkart, 2016-17 fiscal year

Revenue

3billion USD

Flipkart, 2016-17 fiscal year

Revenue Growth Rate

29%percent

Flipkart, 2016-17 fiscal year (down from 50% prior year)

Total Loss (including financing costs)

1.3billion USD

Flipkart, 2016-17 fiscal year

Walmart Intrinsic Value per Share

63USD

Walmart valuation as of May 2018 (author's analysis)

Walmart Revenue

500billion USD

Walmart, 2017