2015 Software Startup IPOs and M&A - What Does the Data Imply for 2016?
The article analyzes 2015 software M&A and IPO activity, finding a 40% decline in disclosed M&A values and minimal IPO activity compared to 2014, driven by a 200% valuation premium in private markets (10-15x forward revenue) versus public markets (5.3x). The author forecasts that private valuations will realign with public multiples in 2016, triggering a wave of acquisitions and IPOs, particularly for companies demonstrating growth combined with a path to profitability.
Metrics in this report
10-15x
Private software companies in 2015
5.3x
Publicly traded software companies as of November 2015
8.1x
Publicly traded software companies at beginning of 2014
410million USD
median
Software acquisitions in 2015
193million USD
median
Software acquisitions in 2014
17percent
median
Median SaaS IPO price appreciation from IPO price (2014-2015 period)
35percent
average
Average SaaS IPO performance above last private round post-money valuation