tomtunguz.com · 2015-01-23 · 4150d

The Compression in SaaS Valuations

SaaS public company valuations compressed 30% from early 2014 to early 2015, with median multiples declining from 9.2x to 6.0x NTM revenue. Multiple outliers trading at extreme premiums (e.g., Xero at 50x) have disappeared, creating a narrower valuation band of 5-10x across the public market. Early-stage private funding remains unaffected, but the author predicts compression may eventually impact late-stage growth rounds and IPO valuations.

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Metrics in this report

SaaS Revenue Multiple (NTM)

9.2x

median

Public SaaS companies, early 2014

SaaS Revenue Multiple (NTM)

6.0x

median

Public SaaS companies, August 2014 - early 2015

SaaS Revenue Multiple (NTM)

5-10x

median

Public SaaS companies trading within normalized band, 2015

SaaS Revenue Multiple (NTM)

50x

target

Xero prior valuation peak (outlier, unsustained)

SaaS Revenue Multiple (NTM)

15x

median

Xero valuation in 2015 (highest among normalized band)

VC Funding Raised

50B

total

2014 VC fundraising, representing half of 2000 levels